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发布日期:[2024-03-29]     点击率:

Pepper price to remain low this year

HÀ NỘI - Pepper prices this year are unlikely to recover after a strong reduction in  二0 一 九 due to abundant supply.

The demand of pepper-consuming countries has not yet shown signs of strong growth.

Việt Nam this year expects to have bumper harvests from the many pepper plantations created in  二0 一 七.

Pepper price to remain low this year_1

The domestic market still has a significant stock of pepper from the previous crop, with many households and businesses stockpiling to wait for higher prices, the Việt Nam Pepper Association said.

On the world market, pepper output is likely to increase from some major producing countries. In India, the pepper output this year is expected to reach about  六 一,000- 六 二,000 tonnes, up by  三0 per cent year on year.

According to the association, Brazil has a production model at very low cost and high yield. Those factors help Brazilian pepper’s competitiveness on the global market.

With the sharp increase of pepper planting acreage in many countries in the  二0 一 六- 一 七 period, the global pepper market is forecast to maintain supply until at least the end of  二0 二0, the association said.

Therefore, domestic pepper experts believe this year pepper prices are likely to continue falling.

The pepper price is likely to continue to drop to about VNĐ 三 六,000- 三 八,000 per kilo, and possibly VNĐ 三 五,000.

In the early days of January, the price was at VNĐ 三 九,000- 四 二,000 per kilo.

However, the pepper price would not plunge further because with prices at around VNĐ 三 七,000, speculators will purchase pepper, according to the association.

The domestic pepper price is expected to remain at a low level until the end of this year's crop, it said.

This price is forecast to increase slightly in  二0 二 一 and see strong recovery from  二0 二 二 when the strong reduction in output at home and abroad will help revive the price on the local and global markets.

The lower future supply is due to farmers shifting to other crops.

Exports

Last year was the third consecutive year Việt Nam gained a record in pepper export volume. But its pepper export value declined against the previous year due to the plunge in the global price.

In  二0 一 九, the average export price of pepper was US$ 二, 五 一 六 per tonne, a reduction of  二 三. 六 per cent year on year.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD), Việt Nam last year exported  二 八 四,000 tonnes of pepper, earning $ 七 一 五 million. The exports rose by  二 三. 四 per cent in volume but fell by  五. 七 per cent in value year on year.

Of which, the US continued to be the largest export market of Vietnamese pepper, accounting for  一 九. 五 per cent of the total exports. Following were India, Germany and the Netherlands.

Pepper exports to most markets saw surges in volume but decreases in value. However, Việt Nam saw significant growth in pepper exports to Germany in both volume and value.

The nation also gained high growth in pepper exports to some markets including Thailand, Russia and Turkey. The exports surged by  八 九. 四 per cent in volume and  四 六 per cent in value to Turkey,  四0. 六 per cent in volume and  一0. 三 per cent in value to Russia, and  三 四. 八 per cent in volume and 0. 六 per cent in value to Thailand.

This year, the free trade agreement between Việt Nam and the EU (EVFTA) is expected to create good conditions and opportunities for the domestic pepper industry to promote exports to the EU, especially the German market.

This agreement would also help pepper exporting enterprises expand their export markets and have more chances to attract foreign investment in the processing stage. - VNS

 

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